Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.027484 0.030088 0.032669 0.035412 0.038241 0.041068 0.044101
2025-01-19 0.021184 0.025285 0.029474 0.034045 0.038869 0.043788 0.049161
2025-01-26 0.018340 0.023497 0.028892 0.034892 0.041324 0.047967 0.055305
2025-02-02 0.015676 0.021551 0.027838 0.034951 0.042679 0.050744 0.059731
2025-02-09 0.012909 0.019221 0.026148 0.034121 0.042895 0.052145 0.062532
2025-02-16 0.011251 0.017990 0.025544 0.034361 0.044163 0.054572 0.066329
2025-02-23 0.009629 0.016660 0.024722 0.034266 0.044981 0.056437 0.069448
2025-03-02 0.008095 0.015308 0.023786 0.033964 0.045501 0.057918 0.072091
2025-03-09 0.006834 0.014187 0.023045 0.033824 0.046147 0.059491 0.074786
2025-03-16 0.005420 0.012741 0.021836 0.033082 0.046066 0.060217 0.076515
2025-03-23 0.004562 0.011956 0.021380 0.033177 0.046896 0.061920 0.079282
2025-03-30 0.003631 0.010969 0.020621 0.032874 0.047239 0.063052 0.081393
2025-04-06 0.002553 0.009716 0.019589 0.032364 0.047500 0.064272 0.083814
2025-04-13 0.001355 0.008008 0.017899 0.031045 0.046843 0.064497 0.085186
2025-04-20 0.000982 0.007651 0.017973 0.031863 0.048660 0.067499 0.089630
2025-04-27 0.000515 0.006908 0.017462 0.031920 0.049554 0.069429 0.092855
2025-05-04 0.000085 0.005776 0.016311 0.031118 0.049393 0.070127 0.094670
2025-05-11 NaN 0.005253 0.015996 0.031350 0.050438 0.072181 0.097985
2025-05-18 NaN 0.004617 0.015454 0.031259 0.051072 0.073744 0.100727
2025-05-25 NaN 0.003941 0.014786 0.030967 0.051440 0.074980 0.103081
2025-06-01 NaN 0.003389 0.014257 0.030832 0.051977 0.076393 0.105618
2025-06-08 NaN 0.002654 0.013324 0.030116 0.051779 0.076934 0.107147
2025-06-15 NaN 0.002289 0.013001 0.030208 0.052557 0.078597 0.109936